“Mr X” and the Perfect Murder

Please make sure that you have read this page first.

In this article we will show and prove how Alan Elsdon fabricated a completely fictional story out of thin air. After reading this article you should ask yourself – “If Elsdon is capable of such blatant dishonesty – is there anything in his book that is an honest effort and that can be trusted as the truth?”

In Chapter 3 (pages 29-32) of his book, Elsdon tells a compelling story of a mysterious “Mr X” sitting behind his laptop, in “another town”, searching the web for information on how to commit the perfect murder. He typed in the words, “How to commit the perfect murder” in a search engine.

After finding a site called ’10 steps to commit the perfect murder’ Mr X printed the article and with a red pen he underlined a few points and scribbled a few notes. In the book Elsdon provides details from the printout on how to commit the perfect murder and how they guided Mr X to plan the murder – judging by the underlining and notes Mr X wrote on the printout.

Then Mr X placed the two pages in a plastic sheath before marking the day of the murder, 16 March 2005, in his diary.

With all the fine details that Elsdon provides: two pages – the red pen – the written notes – the plastic sheath, etc., makes one believe that he must surely have the original or at least a colour copy of the printout. One can, therefore, surmise that if he doesn’t have, or have never seen, the original or a copy of the printout that all the details are fabricated.

If you type “How to commit the perfect murder”  into Google you find a blog article titled – ‘10 steps to commit a murder and get away with it‘. Although the title is different, it is the very same article that Elsdon used as a source for his book. A lot of information in Elsdon’s book about how to commit a perfect murder was clearly drawn from this article – even down to the statistics that “4 % of murders are committed by a blunt object and 14 % by stabbing”.

On page 30:

5. Type of Crime
Make sure the crime can be done by day or by night.
Only about 4% of murders involve a blunt object and 14%

The image above is from the blog article and is presented to illustrate how Elsdon, without referencing his source, used information from this blog article in his book.

The questions that Elsdon needs to answer to allow for an independent verification of the authenticity of this evidence are:

  • Where is this printout or a copy thereof, and can he make it available for forensic analysis and verification?
  • Where did he get this printout or copy? (What is the chain of custody?)
  • Where did he get information about Mr X’s internet search history – more than 10 years later?

But there is a much bigger issue that Elsdon needs to explain. According to him Mr X did his internet search on/or about 2 March 2005. The date of the blog article which Elsdon describes in his book is 11 February 2014. The blog article references another site (‘Top 10 tips to commit the perfect crime‘) that was used a source – and this web article is dated 16 August 2007. The statistics that 4 % of murders are committed by a blunt object and 14 % by stabbing were obtained from analysis 2008 crime data.

Unless Mr X is a time traveller he could not have had access to the precise information Elsdon claims he consulted to plan the perfect murder.

If we filter the Google search results to only show postings prior to March 16, 2005 (which are still available online) – no articles are displayed that offer the “10 steps to commit a perfect murder”.


The only logical inference is that Alan Elsdon made it all up. It is fiction! There can be no printout in which Mr X scribbled little notes planning the perfect murder of Inge Lotz. What other parts of his book are pure fiction like this?

Note how Elsdon used the fake printout to develop his narrative:

  1. Because it suggests you leave your cellphone at home in a safe place, Elsdon came up with the story – without any supporting evidence – that Mr X , before he flew down to Cape Town, left his cell phone at home, switched off and on charge – and that he used a new cellphone and SIM card.
  2. Because it suggests that one could make the murder look like an act of passion or rage to confuse the police – he claims that is why Mrs Lotz hit Inge over her head with a photo stand in her apartment after she was already dead.
  3. Because it suggests that you should arrive at destination unseen – he claims that Mr X chartered a plane to fly to Cape Town and back on the day of Inge’s murder. (Very dramatic indeed!)
  4. Because it suggests that one should enhance an alibi with a solid believable story – one that can be verified – Elsdon claims the arrangement between Fred and Jean Minnar w.r.t to the small kitchen cupboard was devised by Mr X to provide Marius with an alibi.

Something to think about: Imagine Mr X wanting to commit the perfect murder. On Elsdon’ version, let’s look at what this Mr X had to do to execute this daring deed. He had to engage with a charter company to hire a plane (with a pilot of course). He had to travel from his house to the departing airport (probably Kimberley?). He had to go trough the airport building with its many CCTV cameras. Same at the Cape Town airport where there are hundreds of cameras. He had to get from the Cape Town International (CTI) airport to “the House”. He then had to carry a dead body up to an apartment, walking past (or close to) several apartments, early evening. He then had to go through the CTI airport again, and again also at the arriving airport. And then back to his house. What a way not to be seen! Sounds like Mr X broke just about every rule in the perfect-murder web article!

In his book Elsdon also does not provide any direct or even circumstantial evidence that Mr X took a charter flight took place – no CCTV footage, no eye witnesses, no phone records, no tickets, no name of the pilot or the charter company. Nothing. If you accuse someone of being an accessory to murder then this is the type of evidence that you should be able to provide.

Note: We have already privately confronted Mr Elsdon with this information. His response was that the PDF that he received from us was corrupted (although it was clear from his email that he had knowledge of the content) – and failed to respond to any of the questions we put to him – and resorted instead to a variety of personal insults.

Alan Elsdon Exposed

Mr X and the Perfect Murder

The To-Do List

Where Inge was murdered

Mistakes or Lies?

Phone Records

The Photo Stand 

Download a free print replica e-copy of Bloody Lies Too here

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